Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pacific Tigers v Washington St Cougars

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pacific Tigers (Local)

Prediction 45.61%2.19fair odd
EV +0.345%
Edge +0.157%
Kelly +0.288%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%45.61%44.88%48.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.011.962.2052.08%49.67%50.89%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington St Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 54.39%1.84fair odd
EV +0.075%
Edge +0.041%
Kelly +0.089%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.19%54.39%55.12%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.771.8459.88%56.66%56.50%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pacific Tigers (Local): 45.61%; Washington St Cougars (Visit): 54.39%. For Pacific Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.345%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.345%E +0.157%K +0.288%G +0.001%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.17%E -5.49%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 20:00
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.00%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 20:00
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.00%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 20:00
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -11.97%E -6.20%K -12.87%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV +0.075%E +0.041%K +0.089%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -11.97%E -6.20%K -12.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -0.469%E -0.256%K -0.565%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 20:00
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -12.43%E -6.47%K -13.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -0.469%E -0.256%K -0.565%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%7.9%2026-03-06 20:00