Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon Ducks v Washington Huskies

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oregon Ducks (Local)

Prediction 57.08%1.75fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -3.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.27%57.39%57.14%59.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.631.631.7163.69%61.35%61.35%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Huskies (Visit)

Prediction 42.92%2.33fair odd
EV -0.421%
Edge -0.181%
Kelly -0.319%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.36%42.61%42.86%43.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.162.252.252.3246.30%44.47%44.54%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oregon Ducks (Local): 57.08%; Washington Huskies (Visit): 42.92%. For Washington Huskies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.32, with an expected value of -0.421%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.40%E -1.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 20:29
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.11%E -2.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.85%E -1.72%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 20:24
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.43%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 20:54
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -7.29%E -3.37%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 20:24
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 20:59
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -9.82%E -6.21%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -0.421%E -0.181%K -0.319%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 20:29
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -10.39%E -6.62%K -18.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -0.421%E -0.181%K -0.319%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 20:25
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.39%E -6.62%K -18.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -1.28%E -0.556%K -0.984%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 20:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-03-01 21:09
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%8.5%2026-03-01 20:25