Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ole Miss Rebels v Texas A&M Aggies

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

91%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ole Miss Rebels (Local)

Prediction 91.46%1.09fair odd

EV -3.05%

Edge -2.88%

Kelly -50.90%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

90.42%91.75%91.85%93.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.011.031.021.0699.01%96.97%97.56%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas A&M Aggies (Visit)

Prediction 8.54%11.71fair odd

EV +36.66%

Edge +2.29%

Kelly +2.44%

Growth +0.896%

assuming max odds 16.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

6.05%8.25%8.15%9.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

10.0011.8611.5016.0010.00%8.43%8.70%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ole Miss Rebels (Local): 91.46%; Texas A&M Aggies (Visit): 8.54%. For Texas A&M Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.71. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 16.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +36.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.26%G +0.000%	16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +36.66%E +2.29%K +2.44%G +0.896%	3.3%	2026-03-01 16:49
Fliff🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.47%EV -7.63%E -7.55%K -762.70%G +0.000%	12.40I 8.06%NM 7.53%EV +5.92%E +0.477%K +0.519%G +0.031%	7.1%	2026-03-01 19:10
BetMGM🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.88%E -4.70%K -122.08%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +2.50%E +0.208%K +0.227%G +0.006%	4.5%	2026-03-01 19:10
BetRivers🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.71%E -6.58%K -335.62%G +0.000%	11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -1.77%E -0.154%K -0.169%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-01 17:59
Unibet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.71%E -6.58%K -335.62%G +0.000%	11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -1.77%E -0.154%K -0.169%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-01 18:00
Bally Bet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.71%E -6.58%K -335.62%G +0.000%	11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -1.77%E -0.154%K -0.169%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-01 18:00
Fanatics🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.05%E -2.88%K -50.90%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -14.58%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-01 16:45
theScore Bet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.97%E -3.78%K -79.37%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.58%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-01 17:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.10I 90.91%NM 88.34%	8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66%	2.9%	2026-03-01 19:49