Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ole Miss Rebels v Gonzaga Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 19:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

88%

12%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ole Miss Rebels (Local)

Prediction 88.36%1.13fair odd

EV -2.80%

Edge -2.55%

Kelly -28.01%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

86.90%88.30%88.30%89.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.061.081.071.1094.34%93.02%93.46%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gonzaga Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 11.64%8.59fair odd

EV +4.74%

Edge +0.526%

Kelly +0.592%

Growth +0.028%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

10.63%11.70%11.70%13.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

7.308.328.259.0013.70%12.01%12.12%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ole Miss Rebels (Local): 88.36%; Gonzaga Bulldogs (Visit): 11.64%. For Gonzaga Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.59. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.74%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.45%E -5.10%K -77.89%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +4.74%E +0.526%K +0.592%G +0.028%	4.6%	2026-03-20 15:30
Unibet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.45%E -5.10%K -77.89%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +4.74%E +0.526%K +0.592%G +0.028%	4.6%	2026-03-20 19:10
Bally Bet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.45%E -5.10%K -77.89%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +4.74%E +0.526%K +0.592%G +0.028%	4.6%	2026-03-20 19:09
Caesars🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.45%E -5.10%K -77.89%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +4.74%E +0.526%K +0.592%G +0.028%	4.6%	2026-03-20 19:09
Fanatics🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.57%E -4.23%K -57.10%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.08%E -0.127%K -0.144%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-03-20 15:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.45%E -5.10%K -77.89%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.90%E -0.863%K -0.986%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-20 18:30
BetRivers🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.34%E -5.98%K -105.59%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.90%E -0.863%K -0.986%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-20 19:10
Fliff🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.24%EV -6.34%E -5.98%K -105.59%G +0.000%	7.95I 12.58%NM 11.76%EV -7.48%E -0.941%K -1.08%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-20 19:24
BetMGM🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.80%E -2.55%K -28.01%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.72%E -1.70%K -1.96%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-03-20 14:45
FanDuel🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -2.80%E -2.55%K -28.01%G +0.000%	7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV -15.05%E -2.06%K -2.39%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-20 15:15

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.10I 90.91%NM 88.34%	8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66%	2.9%	2026-03-20 19:25
Novig◎	1.00I 100.00%NM 87.71%	7.14I 14.01%NM 12.29%	14.0%	2026-03-20 19:20