Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.33
assuming max odds 3.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma St Cowgirls (Local): 72.21%; Kansas St Wildcats (Visit): 27.79%. For Kansas St Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.60. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.84%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.85%E -5.31%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +2.84%E +0.767%K +1.05%G +0.030% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 16:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -7.58%E -5.92%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -1.33%E -0.375%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -7.58%E -5.92%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -1.33%E -0.375%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -8.30%E -6.53%K -30.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -1.33%E -0.375%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 17:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -8.30%E -6.53%K -30.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.97%E -2.98%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.11%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 17:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.97%E -2.98%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.69%E -3.55%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 17:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.41%E -4.13%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.13%E -4.72%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 17:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 77.83% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 22.17% | 28.5% | 2026-03-06 16:59 |