Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.30
assuming max odds 4.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma St Cowgirls (Local): 74.70%; Kansas Jayhawks (Visit): 25.30%. For Kansas Jayhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.32%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -8.87%E -7.27%K -40.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +11.32%E +2.57%K +3.33%G +0.377% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:52 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +3.73%E +0.910%K +1.20%G +0.045% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 19:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.64%E -2.82%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.86%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 21:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.86%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 21:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.37%E -5.95%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -3.86%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 21:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -2.89%E -2.22%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -7.65%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 17:18 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.38%E -3.43%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -10.18%E -2.87%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 18:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.38%E -3.43%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -10.18%E -2.87%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 18:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.38%E -3.43%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 19:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -2.89%E -2.22%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -16.51%E -5.00%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.7% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 76.85% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 23.15% | 30.1% | 2026-02-28 19:04 |