Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.37
assuming max odds 3.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma Sooners (Local): 70.00%; Tennessee Volunteers (Visit): 30.00%. For Tennessee Volunteers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.33. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.99%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +1.99%E +0.587%K +0.831%G +0.017% | 4.6% | 2026-02-22 17:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.80%E -3.53%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.51%E -0.771%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 17:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.10%E -2.99%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.01%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 17:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.10%E -2.99%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.51%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.20%E -4.63%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.51%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.20%E -4.63%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.51%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.80%E -3.53%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.20%E -4.63%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 17:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 17:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-02-22 15:40 |