Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners v Tennessee Volunteers

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners (Local)

Prediction 70.00%1.43fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -2.99%
Kelly -11.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.51%70.20%69.98%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.351.341.3775.19%74.24%74.63%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tennessee Volunteers (Visit)

Prediction 30.00%3.33fair odd
EV +1.99%
Edge +0.587%
Kelly +0.831%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%29.80%30.02%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.173.153.4032.26%31.55%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma Sooners (Local): 70.00%; Tennessee Volunteers (Visit): 30.00%. For Tennessee Volunteers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.33. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.99%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +1.99%E +0.587%K +0.831%G +0.017%4.6%2026-02-22 17:35
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.80%E -3.53%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.51%E -0.771%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 17:54
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.10%E -2.99%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.01%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 17:55
Fanatics🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.10%E -2.99%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.51%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 18:30
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.20%E -4.63%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.51%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 18:55
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.20%E -4.63%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.51%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 18:55
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.80%E -3.53%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 17:20
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.20%E -4.63%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 17:55
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 17:04
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-02-22 15:40