The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Oklahoma Sooners v Michigan St Spartans

Kickoff: 2026-03-23 00:07 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners (Local)

Prediction 72.79%1.37fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -7.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.12%72.65%73.07%73.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.311.311.3477.52%76.39%76.63%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Michigan St Spartans (Visit)

Prediction 27.21%3.68fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -0.569%
Kelly -0.787%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.53%27.35%26.93%28.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.453.423.6030.30%29.03%29.20%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma Sooners (Local): 72.79%; Michigan St Spartans (Visit): 27.21%. For Michigan St Spartans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -2.05%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.46%E -1.84%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 00:04
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 00:04
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.19%E -2.40%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 00:05
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.64%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.05%E -0.569%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 00:04
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.64%E -3.55%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 00:04
Caesars🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.05%E -0.569%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 00:02
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.37%E -4.13%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 00:05
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.41%E -0.960%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 00:04
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 23:59
Fliff🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.10%E -4.73%K -21.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-03-23 00:05
Novig◎1.31I 76.34%NM 73.37%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%4.0%2026-03-23 00:05