Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners v Florida Gators

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 18:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

83%

17%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma Sooners (Local)

Prediction 83.18%1.20fair odd

EV -3.52%

Edge -3.03%

Kelly -21.97%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

82.71%83.15%83.21%83.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.121.131.131.1689.29%88.15%88.50%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida Gators (Visit)

Prediction 16.82%5.94fair odd

EV -3.26%

Edge -0.567%

Kelly -0.687%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

16.42%16.85%16.79%17.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.505.635.605.7518.18%17.77%17.86%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma Sooners (Local): 83.18%; Florida Gators (Visit): 16.82%. For Florida Gators (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.75, with an expected value of -3.26%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -3.52%E -3.03%K -21.97%G +0.000%	5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -6.63%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-03-05 18:24
BetMGM🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.35%E -3.78%K -28.98%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -3.26%E -0.567%K -0.687%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-05 18:10
Caesars🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.18%E -4.54%K -36.99%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.26%E -0.567%K -0.687%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-05 18:25
Unibet🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.01%E -5.32%K -46.24%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.26%E -0.567%K -0.687%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-05 18:05
Bally Bet🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.01%E -5.32%K -46.24%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.26%E -0.567%K -0.687%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-05 18:00
Fliff🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.01%E -5.32%K -46.24%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-05 18:24
theScore Bet🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.01%E -5.32%K -46.24%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-05 18:25
BetRivers🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.84%E -6.11%K -57.02%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -5.79%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-05 18:05
FanDuel🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.84%E -6.11%K -57.02%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-03-05 18:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.14I 87.72%NM 86.23%	7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77%	1.7%	2026-03-05 18:05
Novig◎	1.00I 100.00%NM 84.59%	5.49I 18.21%NM 15.41%	18.2%	2026-03-05 18:25