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Ohio State Buckeyes v UConn Huskies

2026-11-12 23:30 UTC — WNCAAB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ohio State Buckeyes (Local)

Prediction 23.32%4.29fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -0.487%
Kelly -0.639%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.22%23.47%23.36%25.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.004.004.2026.67%25.00%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UConn Huskies (Visit)

Prediction 76.68%1.30fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -2.69%
Kelly -13.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.85%76.53%76.64%77.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.241.251.2683.33%80.65%80.00%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ohio State Buckeyes (Local): 23.32%; UConn Huskies (Visit): 76.68%. For Ohio State Buckeyes (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.29. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.20, with an expected value of -2.04%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.04%E -0.487%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.92%E -3.97%K -20.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-12 15:59
FanDuel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.04%E -0.487%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.99%E -6.66%K -39.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-12 18:05
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.15%E -3.32%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-12 16:20
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.15%E -3.32%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-12 16:09
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.45%E -5.29%K -29.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-12 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -12.54%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.39%E -2.69%K -13.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-12 18:39
BetOnline.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -12.54%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.39%E -2.69%K -13.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-12 18:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎4.35I 22.99%NM 23.01%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.99%-0.1%2026-11-12 18:20
Novig◎3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%6.0%2026-11-12 18:40

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