The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Ohio State Buckeyes v Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Kickoff: 2026-03-23 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ohio State Buckeyes (Local)

Prediction 64.41%1.55fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.951%
Kelly -2.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%64.28%64.59%65.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.481.491.5369.93%67.34%67.11%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit)

Prediction 35.59%2.81fair odd
EV -0.342%
Edge -0.122%
Kelly -0.190%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.12%35.72%35.41%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.642.652.8040.82%37.86%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ohio State Buckeyes (Local): 64.41%; Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit): 35.59%. For Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -0.342%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.46%E -0.951%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 19:44
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.46%E -0.951%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 19:44
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -2.74%E -1.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -6.04%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 16:49
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 18:34
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.80%E -5.22%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-23 19:45
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 19:54
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.19%E -1.17%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 19:20
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.61%E -4.56%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.342%E -0.122%K -0.190%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 19:25
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.61%E -4.56%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 17:59
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.90%E -5.52%K -18.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-23 19:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-03-23 19:49
Novig◎1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%4.9%2026-03-23 19:55