The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Notre Dame Fighting Irish v Syracuse Orange

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local)

Prediction 79.59%1.26fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -13.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.29%79.42%79.58%80.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.191.181.2285.47%84.21%84.75%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Syracuse Orange (Visit)

Prediction 20.41%4.90fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.420%
Kelly -0.530%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.76%20.58%20.42%21.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.634.654.8022.73%21.62%21.51%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local): 79.59%; Syracuse Orange (Visit): 20.41%. For Syracuse Orange (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.90. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.80, with an expected value of -2.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.90%E -2.38%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -10.18%E -2.31%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 21:00
Fanatics🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.70%E -3.06%K -17.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.10%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 22:04
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.50%E -3.75%K -22.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.01%E -0.420%K -0.530%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 17:15
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.09%E -5.16%K -33.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.10%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 22:05
Fliff🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.09%E -5.16%K -33.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.18%E -2.31%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 22:10
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.88%E -5.88%K -40.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -3.03%E -0.639%K -0.809%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 22:04
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.88%E -5.88%K -40.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -3.03%E -0.639%K -0.809%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 22:09
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.88%E -5.88%K -40.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -4.06%E -0.863%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 22:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%4.0%2026-02-26 23:49