The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Northwestern Wildcats v Purdue Boilermakers

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northwestern Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 38.03%2.63fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%38.24%38.03%39.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.462.452.5441.67%40.65%40.82%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Purdue Boilermakers (Visit)

Prediction 61.97%1.61fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -5.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%61.76%61.97%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.521.531.5666.67%65.60%65.36%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northwestern Wildcats (Local): 38.03%; Purdue Boilermakers (Visit): 61.97%. For Purdue Boilermakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.56, with an expected value of -3.33%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.39%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.57%E -2.97%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 20:00
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.91%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.05%E -4.70%K -14.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 20:00
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 19:59
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 19:59
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.81%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.05%E -4.70%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 19:59
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -7.57%E -3.12%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -6.43%E -4.26%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 19:59
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.72%E -3.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.33%E -2.14%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%3.1%2026-03-01 20:00