Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northern Iowa Panthers v Bradley Braves

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 19:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

62%

38%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northern Iowa Panthers (Local)

Prediction 62.04%1.61fair odd

EV -3.22%

Edge -2.06%

Kelly -5.75%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

59.59%62.04%61.56%64.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.451.501.501.5668.97%66.45%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bradley Braves (Visit)

Prediction 37.96%2.63fair odd

EV -1.30%

Edge -0.499%

Kelly -0.811%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

35.80%37.96%38.44%40.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.302.482.532.6043.48%40.24%39.60%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northern Iowa Panthers (Local): 62.04%; Bradley Braves (Visit): 37.96%. For Bradley Braves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -1.30%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Fliff🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -3.22%E -2.06%K -5.75%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -12.69%E -5.52%K -9.76%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-13 19:40
FanDuel🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -3.84%E -2.48%K -6.98%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -10.41%E -4.41%K -7.65%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-13 19:40
BetMGM🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.59%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-13 19:40
Unibet🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.80%E -5.99%K -18.73%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -1.30%E -0.499%K -0.811%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-13 19:40
Bally Bet🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.80%E -5.99%K -18.73%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -1.30%E -0.499%K -0.811%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-13 19:40
BetRivers🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -10.05%E -6.93%K -22.32%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -1.30%E -0.499%K -0.811%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-13 19:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%	2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%	4.0%	2026-03-13 19:40