Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.70
assuming max odds 1.61
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Dakota St Bison (Local): 39.33%; South Dakota St Jackrabbits (Visit): 60.67%. For North Dakota St Bison (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.20%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +6.20%E +2.30%K +3.65%G +0.226% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -9.61%E -6.45%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 19:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.67%E -0.668%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.57%E -4.27%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 17:43 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.64%E -1.48%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.54%E -2.23%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 19:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.64%E -1.48%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.00%E -6.00%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 17:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.97%E -3.85%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 17:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.97%E -3.85%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 17:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.39%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.57%E -4.27%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 17:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.54%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.33%E -1.44%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 19:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.54%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 17:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25% | 2.8% | 2026-03-08 19:45 |