The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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North Carolina Tar Heels v Maryland Terrapins

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 16:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Carolina Tar Heels (Local)

Prediction 56.57%1.77fair odd
EV -0.441%
Edge -0.251%
Kelly -0.581%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.38%56.39%56.85%57.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.701.691.7660.61%58.89%59.35%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maryland Terrapins (Visit)

Prediction 43.43%2.30fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.815%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.49%43.61%43.15%45.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.162.172.2648.78%46.23%46.19%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Carolina Tar Heels (Local): 56.57%; Maryland Terrapins (Visit): 43.43%. For North Carolina Tar Heels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.76, with an expected value of -0.441%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -0.441%E -0.251%K -0.581%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 15:54
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -0.441%E -0.251%K -0.581%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 15:54
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.70%E -1.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.96%E -5.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 15:55
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.27%E -1.91%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.79%E -4.19%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 16:00
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.40%E -2.60%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.32%E -2.44%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 15:40
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.97%E -2.96%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.71%E -1.21%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 23:59
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -1.84%E -0.815%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 15:55
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.28%E -1.01%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 05:55
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.45%E -2.02%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 16:00
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.66%E -4.04%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.62%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-03-22 16:00
Novig◎1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%4.6%2026-03-22 15:40