The School of College Oddsodds.college
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New Mexico Lobos v Boise State Broncos

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 21:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Mexico Lobos (Local)

Prediction 55.11%1.81fair odd
EV -6.87%
Edge -4.06%
Kelly -9.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.81%55.11%55.11%55.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.671.671.6959.88%59.70%59.88%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boise State Broncos (Visit)

Prediction 44.89%2.23fair odd
EV -7.52%
Edge -3.65%
Kelly -7.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.77%44.89%44.89%45.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.052.052.0648.78%48.66%48.66%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Mexico Lobos (Local): 55.11%; Boise State Broncos (Visit): 44.89%. For New Mexico Lobos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.69, with an expected value of -6.87%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.87%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 21:25
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.77%EV -7.52%E -3.65%K -7.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 18:59
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.77%EV -7.52%E -3.65%K -7.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 18:59
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 18:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-03-08 21:25