Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.36
assuming max odds 3.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nebraska Cornhuskers (Local): 71.12%; Indiana Hoosiers (Visit): 28.88%. For Indiana Hoosiers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -1.80%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.28%E -2.41%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 20:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.28%E -2.41%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 20:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.99%E -2.96%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.69%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 20:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.70%E -3.51%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 20:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.41%E -4.07%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.80%E -0.531%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 20:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.41%E -4.07%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 20:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.12%E -4.64%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.69%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 20:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.12%E -4.64%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 20:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.83%E -5.22%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 20:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.55%E -5.80%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.69%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 20:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 20:30 |