Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC State Wolfpack v Syracuse Orange

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 19:08 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC State Wolfpack (Local)

Prediction 76.63%1.30fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -3.37%
Kelly -16.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.00%76.46%76.64%77.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.241.251.2582.64%80.65%80.00%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Syracuse Orange (Visit)

Prediction 23.37%4.28fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.79%23.54%23.36%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.944.004.1026.67%25.35%25.00%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NC State Wolfpack (Local): 76.63%; Syracuse Orange (Visit): 23.37%. For Syracuse Orange (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.10, with an expected value of -4.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.20%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 19:05
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.20%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 18:59
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.20%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 18:59
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.38%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 18:59
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.38%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 18:59
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.38%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 18:59
Fliff🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.04%E -2.61%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 18:59
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -7.27%E -6.01%K -34.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -4.20%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-02-22 19:05