The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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NC State Wolfpack v Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 18:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC State Wolfpack (Local)

Prediction 47.32%2.11fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -3.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.89%47.29%47.17%48.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.002.002.0451.81%49.94%50.00%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit)

Prediction 52.68%1.90fair odd
EV -4.13%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -5.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.47%52.71%52.83%54.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.771.771.8257.80%56.50%56.50%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NC State Wolfpack (Local): 47.32%; Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit): 52.68%. For NC State Wolfpack (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.04, with an expected value of -3.46%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -3.46%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -8.34%E -4.80%K -11.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 15:55
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -3.46%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -8.34%E -4.80%K -11.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 15:55
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -3.46%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -8.87%E -5.13%K -12.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 15:55
DraftKings🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.41%E -2.18%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 18:30
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.35%E -2.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 18:30
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.35%E -2.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 16:03
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -5.35%E -2.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.34%E -4.80%K -11.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 16:00
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.72%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -8.67%E -4.49%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 18:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%8.3%2026-03-06 18:25
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%8.9%2026-03-06 18:30