Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Murray St Racers v Northern Iowa Panthers

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 18:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Murray St Racers (Local)

Prediction 63.70%1.57fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -4.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%64.02%63.73%66.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.471.471.5369.93%68.14%68.03%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northern Iowa Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 36.30%2.76fair odd
EV +5.26%
Edge +1.81%
Kelly +2.77%
Growth +0.146%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.03%35.98%36.27%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.622.602.9040.00%38.11%38.46%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Murray St Racers (Local): 63.70%; Northern Iowa Panthers (Visit): 36.30%. For Northern Iowa Panthers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.26%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -8.91%E -6.23%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +5.26%E +1.81%K +2.77%G +0.146%4.4%2026-03-14 18:29
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -8.91%E -6.23%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -3.81%E -1.44%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 18:30
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.72%E -3.87%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 18:30
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.36%E -4.32%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 18:30
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.36%E -4.32%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.63%E -2.16%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -5.72%E -3.87%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -7.80%E -3.07%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 18:30
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.54%E -1.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 18:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%4.1%2026-03-14 18:30