The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Murray St Racers v Evansville Purple Aces

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Murray St Racers (Local)

Prediction 91.87%1.09fair odd
EV -4.45%
Edge -4.28%
Kelly -111.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
91.07%91.86%92.10%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.031.031.0498.04%97.09%97.09%96.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Evansville Purple Aces (Visit)

Prediction 8.13%12.31fair odd
EV +5.63%
Edge +0.433%
Kelly +0.469%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.41%8.14%7.90%8.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.5011.2710.8213.009.52%8.87%9.24%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Murray St Racers (Local): 91.87%; Evansville Purple Aces (Visit): 8.13%. For Evansville Purple Aces (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.63%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.45%E -4.28%K -111.27%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +5.63%E +0.433%K +0.469%G +0.026%3.8%2026-03-15 17:49
theScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.37%E -5.21%K -178.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -2.49%E -0.208%K -0.227%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 17:40
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.29%E -6.16%K -314.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -2.49%E -0.208%K -0.227%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 17:50
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.45%E -4.28%K -111.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.62%E -0.965%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 17:30
Fliff🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.26%EV -6.29%E -6.16%K -314.41%G +0.000%10.65I 9.39%NM 8.74%EV -13.46%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 17:55
BetRivers🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.37%E -5.21%K -178.98%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -14.68%E -1.40%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 17:50
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.37%E -5.21%K -178.98%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -14.68%E -1.40%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 17:50
Bally Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.37%E -5.21%K -178.98%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -14.68%E -1.40%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.3%2026-03-15 17:55