Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Montana St Bobcats v Montana Grizzlies

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 20:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Montana St Bobcats (Local)

Prediction 91.57%1.09fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -3.67%
Kelly -77.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.58%91.57%91.95%92.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.041.041.0597.09%96.46%96.62%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Montana Grizzlies (Visit)

Prediction 8.43%11.86fair odd
EV +1.16%
Edge +0.096%
Kelly +0.105%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.90%8.43%8.05%9.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.9010.6510.0012.0010.10%9.39%10.00%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montana St Bobcats (Local): 91.57%; Montana Grizzlies (Visit): 8.43%. For Montana Grizzlies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.86. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.85%E -3.67%K -77.02%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +1.16%E +0.096%K +0.105%G +0.001%3.6%2026-03-08 20:29
theScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.68%E -5.52%K -189.42%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +1.16%E +0.096%K +0.105%G +0.001%5.4%2026-03-08 20:30
Unibet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.77%E -4.58%K -119.17%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -15.70%E -1.57%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 20:30
Bally Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.77%E -4.58%K -119.17%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -15.70%E -1.57%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 20:30
BetRivers🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.68%E -5.52%K -189.42%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -15.70%E -1.57%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 20:30
Fliff🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.58%EV -5.68%E -5.52%K -189.42%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.42%EV -16.55%E -1.67%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 20:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%3.0%2026-03-08 20:30