Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Montana Grizzlies v N Colorado Bears

Kickoff: 2026-03-03 02:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

29%

71%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Montana Grizzlies (Local)

Prediction 28.51%3.51fair odd

EV -3.07%

Edge -0.903%

Kelly -1.28%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.81%28.51%28.51%29.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.203.243.203.4031.25%30.86%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

N Colorado Bears (Visit)

Prediction 71.49%1.40fair odd

EV -4.92%

Edge -3.70%

Kelly -14.90%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

70.64%71.49%71.49%72.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.311.321.321.3376.34%75.64%75.76%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montana Grizzlies (Local): 28.51%; N Colorado Bears (Visit): 71.49%. For Montana Grizzlies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -3.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Fanatics🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.07%E -0.903%K -1.28%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.35%E -4.84%K -20.47%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-03-03 02:01
Unibet🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.77%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.92%E -3.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-03 02:00
Bally Bet🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.77%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.92%E -3.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-03 02:00
BetRivers🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.77%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.63%E -4.27%K -17.60%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-03 02:00
Fliff🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.77%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.63%E -4.27%K -17.60%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-03 02:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	3.57I 28.01%NM 26.99%	1.32I 75.76%NM 73.01%	3.8%	2026-03-03 02:01