Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri Tigers v Oklahoma Sooners

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

93%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri Tigers (Local)

Prediction 7.46%13.41fair odd

EV +26.80%

Edge +1.58%

Kelly +1.67%

Growth +0.449%

assuming max odds 17.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

5.66%7.30%7.90%8.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

11.0013.5714.0017.009.09%7.37%7.14%5.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma Sooners (Visit)

Prediction 92.54%1.08fair odd

EV -2.83%

Edge -2.70%

Kelly -56.63%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

91.51%92.70%92.10%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.011.021.021.0599.01%97.63%98.04%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Missouri Tigers (Local): 7.46%; Oklahoma Sooners (Visit): 92.54%. For Missouri Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.41. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 17.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +26.80%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +26.80%E +1.58%K +1.67%G +0.449%	1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.61%E -5.50%K -280.40%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-01 17:58
DraftKings🎯	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +11.88%E +0.792%K +0.849%G +0.101%	1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.68%E -4.55%K -156.08%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-03-01 20:54
Unibet🎯	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +4.42%E +0.316%K +0.340%G +0.015%	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.53%E -6.47%K -653.33%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-01 18:00
Bally Bet🎯	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +4.42%E +0.316%K +0.340%G +0.015%	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.53%E -6.47%K -653.33%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-01 18:00
Fanatics🎯	12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -10.49%E -0.875%K -0.954%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -2.83%E -2.70%K -56.63%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-03-01 16:39
theScore Bet🎯	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -10.49%E -0.875%K -0.954%G +0.000%	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.68%E -4.55%K -156.08%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-01 16:29
FanDuel🎯	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -17.95%E -1.63%K -1.80%G +0.000%	1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.61%E -5.50%K -280.40%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-01 20:34

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	20.00I 5.00%NM 4.90%	1.03I 97.09%NM 95.10%	2.1%	2026-03-01 20:54
Novig◎	11.49I 8.70%NM 8.01%	1.00I 100.00%NM 91.99%	8.7%	2026-03-01 20:34