The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Minnesota Golden Gophers v Ohio State Buckeyes

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 19:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Golden Gophers (Local)

Prediction 48.21%2.07fair odd
EV +2.21%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.97%
Growth +0.043%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.21%47.88%48.47%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.991.952.1253.48%50.14%51.28%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit)

Prediction 51.79%1.93fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -2.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.12%51.53%55.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.771.771.8859.52%56.50%56.50%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Golden Gophers (Local): 48.21%; Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit): 51.79%. For Minnesota Golden Gophers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.21%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV +2.21%E +1.04%K +1.97%G +0.043%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -12.99%E -7.73%K -19.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 19:00
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV +2.21%E +1.04%K +1.97%G +0.043%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -12.99%E -7.73%K -19.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 19:00
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV +1.24%E +0.591%K +1.13%G +0.014%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -12.99%E -7.73%K -19.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:00
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.17%E -0.570%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.89%E -5.68%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 19:20
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 19:20
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 19:05
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.92%E -4.15%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.22%E -2.86%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 17:55
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -9.36%E -4.98%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -2.64%E -1.40%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 15:45
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.85%E -5.27%K -11.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-03-06 19:20
Novig◎1.84I 54.35%NM 50.14%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.86%8.4%2026-03-06 19:10