The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Minnesota Golden Gophers v Michigan St Spartans

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Golden Gophers (Local)

Prediction 68.09%1.47fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -7.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%68.05%68.20%68.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.381.371.4273.53%72.29%72.99%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Michigan St Spartans (Visit)

Prediction 31.91%3.13fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -0.874%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.46%31.95%31.80%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.902.952.953.0534.48%33.85%33.90%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Golden Gophers (Local): 68.09%; Michigan St Spartans (Visit): 31.91%. For Michigan St Spartans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.05, with an expected value of -2.66%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.32%E -2.34%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.86%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 22:05
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.68%E -3.34%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.66%E -0.874%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 20:10
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.68%E -3.34%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.26%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 21:09
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.68%E -3.34%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 22:30
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.72%E -4.91%K -18.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.86%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 19:35
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.21%EV -6.72%E -4.91%K -18.17%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.79%EV -6.17%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 22:04
Fliff🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.72%E -4.91%K -18.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.40%E -5.44%K -20.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.86%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 19:34
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.40%E -5.44%K -20.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.86%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 19:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%3.0%2026-02-22 22:55
Novig◎1.34I 74.63%NM 68.84%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.16%8.4%2026-02-22 22:05