The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Michigan Wolverines v Maryland Terrapins

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 19:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan Wolverines (Local)

Prediction 72.05%1.39fair odd
EV +0.874%
Edge +0.624%
Kelly +2.18%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.18%71.80%71.74%74.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.321.311.4077.52%75.82%76.34%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maryland Terrapins (Visit)

Prediction 27.95%3.58fair odd
EV +3.41%
Edge +0.920%
Kelly +1.26%
Growth +0.043%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.85%28.20%28.26%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.343.303.7033.33%29.94%30.30%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michigan Wolverines (Local): 72.05%; Maryland Terrapins (Visit): 27.95%. For Maryland Terrapins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -7.05%E -5.47%K -24.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +3.41%E +0.920%K +1.26%G +0.043%4.5%2026-02-28 16:24
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.61%E -4.28%K -18.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.611%E +0.170%K +0.235%G +0.001%4.1%2026-02-28 16:30
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.17%E -3.14%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.98%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 16:35
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.89%E -3.70%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.77%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.89%E -3.70%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.77%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 16:40
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.61%E -4.28%K -18.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.77%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.33%E -4.87%K -21.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.77%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 16:40
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.33%E -4.87%K -21.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.77%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 16:35
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -5.61%E -4.28%K -18.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -10.57%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 17:39
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +0.874%E +0.624%K +2.18%G +0.019%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -16.16%E -5.39%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 16:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%3.7%2026-02-28 19:24
Novig◎1.00I 100.00%NM 76.91%3.33I 30.03%NM 23.09%30.0%2026-02-28 19:04