Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami (OH) RedHawks v Kent State Golden Flashes

Kickoff: 2026-03-11 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

81%

19%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami (OH) RedHawks (Local)

Prediction 80.54%1.24fair odd

EV -5.77%

Edge -4.93%

Kelly -33.95%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

80.54%80.54%80.54%80.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.161.171.171.1786.21%85.71%85.47%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kent State Golden Flashes (Visit)

Prediction 19.46%5.14fair odd

EV -4.63%

Edge -0.945%

Kelly -1.19%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

19.28%19.46%19.46%19.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.804.874.904.9020.83%20.55%20.41%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami (OH) RedHawks (Local): 80.54%; Kent State Golden Flashes (Visit): 19.46%. For Kent State Golden Flashes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.90, with an expected value of -4.63%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Unibet🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.95%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -4.63%E -0.945%K -1.19%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-11 14:35
Bally Bet🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.77%E -4.93%K -33.95%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -4.63%E -0.945%K -1.19%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-11 14:35
BetRivers🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.58%E -5.67%K -41.11%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -6.58%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-11 14:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%	5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%	2.0%	2026-03-11 14:50