Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Hurricanes v Stanford Cardinal

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Hurricanes (Local)

Prediction 34.87%2.87fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.842%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.65%34.88%34.94%36.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.682.702.8039.22%37.27%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stanford Cardinal (Visit)

Prediction 65.13%1.54fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -4.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.75%65.12%65.06%66.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.461.451.5070.92%68.49%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Hurricanes (Local): 34.87%; Stanford Cardinal (Visit): 65.13%. For Stanford Cardinal (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.50, with an expected value of -2.31%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.36%E -0.842%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 15:55
FanDuel🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -3.05%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -8.17%E -5.79%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 15:55
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.96%E -1.99%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 15:34
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 15:55
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.59%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.31%E -1.54%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 14:14
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.33%E -3.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.26%E -2.90%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 15:29
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -11.07%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 15:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-03-04 15:55