The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Miami Hurricanes v California Golden Bears

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Hurricanes (Local)

Prediction 53.50%1.87fair odd
EV +4.33%
Edge +2.22%
Kelly +4.56%
Growth +0.197%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%52.96%53.19%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.781.771.9559.88%56.32%56.50%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

California Golden Bears (Visit)

Prediction 46.50%2.15fair odd
EV -0.029%
Edge -0.013%
Kelly -0.025%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%47.04%46.81%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.802.012.002.1555.56%49.86%50.00%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Hurricanes (Local): 53.50%; California Golden Bears (Visit): 46.50%. For Miami Hurricanes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +4.33%E +2.22%K +4.56%G +0.197%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -16.30%E -9.06%K -20.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 19:00
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -2.63%E -1.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -9.79%E -5.05%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 18:59
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.30%E -3.00%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.35%E -1.12%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 19:00
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.30%E -3.00%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.00%E -3.50%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 18:57
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.84%E -3.32%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.00%E -3.50%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 19:00
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -9.58%E -5.67%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.65%E -6.38%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -0.029%E -0.013%K -0.025%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%4.1%2026-02-22 19:00