Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marquette Golden Eagles v Creighton Bluejays

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 19:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

60%

40%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marquette Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 59.91%1.67fair odd

EV -1.76%

Edge -1.07%

Kelly -2.74%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.44%59.77%59.93%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.561.601.611.6464.10%62.41%62.11%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Creighton Bluejays (Visit)

Prediction 40.09%2.49fair odd

EV +0.237%

Edge +0.095%

Kelly +0.158%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.42%40.23%40.07%42.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.202.332.302.5045.45%42.84%43.48%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marquette Golden Eagles (Local): 59.91%; Creighton Bluejays (Visit): 40.09%. For Creighton Bluejays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.237%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.55%E -4.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +0.237%E +0.095%K +0.158%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-07 19:09
BetMGM🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.77%E -0.721%K -1.22%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-07 19:15
Fanatics🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.95%E -1.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-03-07 19:24
Caesars🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.75%E -2.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-07 19:23
theScore Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.55%E -2.21%K -5.82%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.99%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-03-07 19:19
Fliff🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.55%E -4.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.99%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-07 19:20
Unibet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -1.76%E -1.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -10.59%E -4.75%K -8.61%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-07 19:24
Bally Bet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -1.76%E -1.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -10.59%E -4.75%K -8.61%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-07 19:24
BetRivers🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -2.35%E -1.44%K -3.74%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -11.79%E -5.36%K -9.83%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-07 19:24

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%	2.8%	2026-03-07 19:09