Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maine Black Bears v New Hampshire Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

91%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maine Black Bears (Local)

Prediction 90.80%1.10fair odd

EV -4.66%

Edge -4.44%

Kelly -93.21%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

90.05%90.80%90.50%92.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.021.031.021.0598.04%97.09%98.04%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Hampshire Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 9.20%10.87fair odd

EV +10.41%

Edge +0.867%

Kelly +0.946%

Growth +0.098%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

7.83%9.20%9.50%9.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

9.5011.0811.5012.0010.53%9.02%8.70%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maine Black Bears (Local): 90.80%; New Hampshire Wildcats (Visit): 9.20%. For New Hampshire Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.87. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Unibet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -7.38%E -7.24%K -369.23%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +10.41%E +0.867%K +0.946%G +0.098%	6.4%	2026-03-05 23:00
Bally Bet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -7.38%E -7.24%K -369.23%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +10.41%E +0.867%K +0.946%G +0.098%	6.4%	2026-03-05 23:00
BetRivers🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -7.38%E -7.24%K -369.23%G +0.000%	11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +5.81%E +0.505%K +0.553%G +0.032%	6.7%	2026-03-05 23:00
Fliff🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -7.38%E -7.24%K -369.23%G +0.000%	11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +5.81%E +0.505%K +0.553%G +0.032%	6.7%	2026-03-05 22:59
theScore Bet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.66%E -4.44%K -93.21%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.99%E -0.799%K -0.888%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-05 22:59
BetMGM🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.66%E -4.44%K -93.21%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -12.59%E -1.33%K -1.48%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-05 23:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%	11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%	1.6%	2026-03-05 23:00