Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

LSU Tigers v Oklahoma Sooners

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 19:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

83%

17%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LSU Tigers (Local)

Prediction 82.94%1.21fair odd

EV -2.96%

Edge -2.53%

Kelly -17.42%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

81.73%83.19%83.14%85.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.091.141.141.1791.74%87.89%87.72%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma Sooners (Visit)

Prediction 17.06%5.86fair odd

EV +10.89%

Edge +1.68%

Kelly +1.98%

Growth +0.216%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

14.36%16.81%16.86%18.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.105.485.256.5019.61%18.24%19.05%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LSU Tigers (Local): 82.94%; Oklahoma Sooners (Visit): 17.06%. For Oklahoma Sooners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.86. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.89%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -9.60%E -8.80%K -106.62%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +10.89%E +1.68%K +1.98%G +0.216%	7.1%	2026-03-06 19:30
Caesars🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.92%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.90%E -0.331%K -0.401%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-06 19:28
theScore Bet🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.11%E -6.35%K -59.23%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -1.90%E -0.331%K -0.401%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-06 19:30
DraftKings🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.92%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.17%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-06 19:30
BetMGM🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.96%E -2.53%K -17.42%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -10.43%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-06 19:29
Unibet🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.62%E -4.02%K -30.80%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -11.29%E -2.17%K -2.69%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-06 19:30
Bally Bet🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.62%E -4.02%K -30.80%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -11.29%E -2.17%K -2.69%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-06 19:30
BetRivers🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.92%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -12.99%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-06 19:30
Fliff🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.92%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -12.99%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-06 19:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.19I 84.03%NM 81.55%	5.26I 19.01%NM 18.45%	3.0%	2026-03-06 19:30
Novig◎	1.15I 86.96%NM 79.57%	4.48I 22.32%NM 20.43%	9.3%	2026-03-06 19:29