Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Loyola Marymount Lions v Oregon St Beavers

Kickoff: 2026-03-09 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

29%

71%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Loyola Marymount Lions (Local)

Prediction 28.75%3.48fair odd

EV -2.25%

Edge -0.661%

Kelly -0.937%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.81%28.75%28.75%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.103.193.153.4032.26%31.35%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon St Beavers (Visit)

Prediction 71.25%1.40fair odd

EV -5.24%

Edge -3.94%

Kelly -15.87%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

69.98%71.25%71.25%72.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.311.331.331.3376.34%75.41%75.19%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Loyola Marymount Lions (Local): 28.75%; Oregon St Beavers (Visit): 71.25%. For Loyola Marymount Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -2.25%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Fanatics🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.25%E -0.661%K -0.937%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.66%E -5.09%K -21.49%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-03-09 18:59
BetRivers🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.24%E -3.94%K -15.87%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-09 19:00
Unibet🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.24%E -3.94%K -15.87%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-09 18:59
Bally Bet🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.24%E -3.94%K -15.87%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-09 18:59
Fliff🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.87%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.24%E -3.94%K -15.87%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-09 18:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%	6.1%	2026-03-09 19:00