Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Loyola (Chi) Ramblers v St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 16:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Loyola (Chi) Ramblers (Local)

Prediction 54.91%1.82fair odd
EV -6.11%
Edge -3.57%
Kelly -8.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.88%54.91%54.91%54.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.711.711.7158.82%58.65%58.65%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Bonaventure Bonnies (Visit)

Prediction 45.09%2.22fair odd
EV -6.21%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -5.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.09%45.09%45.09%45.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.082.082.0848.31%48.19%48.19%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Loyola (Chi) Ramblers (Local): 54.91%; St. Bonaventure Bonnies (Visit): 45.09%. For Loyola (Chi) Ramblers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.71, with an expected value of -6.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.11%E -3.57%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.21%E -2.98%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 16:00
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.66%E -3.92%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.66%E -3.22%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%11.0%2026-03-05 16:00