The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Louisville Cardinals v North Carolina Tar Heels

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 19:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisville Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 59.71%1.67fair odd
EV +0.305%
Edge +0.181%
Kelly +0.448%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.79%59.56%59.85%60.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.611.611.6864.10%62.23%62.11%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit)

Prediction 40.29%2.48fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.521%
Kelly -0.881%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.05%40.44%40.15%44.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.312.322.4547.17%43.27%43.10%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisville Cardinals (Local): 59.71%; North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit): 40.29%. For Louisville Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.68, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.305%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV +0.305%E +0.181%K +0.448%G +0.001%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -14.57%E -6.87%K -13.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 19:29
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.08%E -1.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -11.35%E -5.16%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 19:29
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -2.68%E -1.64%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -11.35%E -5.16%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:29
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.28%E -2.02%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.29%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 19:30
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.87%E -2.41%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.29%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 19:15
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.87%E -2.41%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.32%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 19:24
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.07%E -3.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.29%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 19:23
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.28%E -0.521%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 19:24
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -5.71%E -2.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:14
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.32%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 19:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-07 19:19