The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Louisiana Tech Bulldogs v Missouri St Bears

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 21:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 67.48%1.48fair odd
EV -4.18%
Edge -2.94%
Kelly -9.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%67.42%67.61%68.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.401.401.4272.46%71.53%71.43%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Missouri St Bears (Visit)

Prediction 32.52%3.08fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -0.814%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%32.58%32.39%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.902.923.0036.36%34.51%34.19%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local): 67.48%; Missouri St Bears (Visit): 32.52%. For Missouri St Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -2.44%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.18%E -2.94%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.07%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 21:40
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.18%E -2.94%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 21:40
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.18%E -2.94%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 21:30
Caesars🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.53%E -3.95%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.44%E -0.814%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 21:37
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.53%E -3.95%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.44%E -0.814%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 21:40
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.53%E -3.95%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 21:40
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.88%E -4.98%K -18.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.07%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 21:40
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.88%E -4.98%K -18.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.07%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 21:40
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.88%E -4.98%K -18.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 21:40
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.88%E -4.98%K -18.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.34%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 21:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%4.9%2026-03-14 21:40