Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs v Liberty Flames

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 22:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

69%

31%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 68.75%1.45fair odd

EV -3.76%

Edge -2.68%

Kelly -9.39%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

67.29%68.75%69.20%69.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.341.381.381.4074.63%72.73%72.46%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Liberty Flames (Visit)

Prediction 31.25%3.20fair odd

EV -3.11%

Edge -1.00%

Kelly -1.48%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

30.34%31.25%30.80%32.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.852.972.943.1035.09%33.69%34.01%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local): 68.75%; Liberty Flames (Visit): 31.25%. For Liberty Flames (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -3.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Unibet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.76%E -2.68%K -9.39%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-13 22:30
Bally Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.76%E -2.68%K -9.39%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-13 22:29
Fanatics🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.13%E -3.72%K -13.50%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-13 22:29
BetRivers🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.13%E -3.72%K -13.50%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.92%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-13 22:30
BetMGM🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.19%E -5.33%K -20.55%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-13 22:29
Fliff🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.88%E -5.88%K -23.18%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-03-13 22:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.32I 75.76%NM 73.01%	3.57I 28.01%NM 26.99%	3.8%	2026-03-13 22:30