Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs v Delaware Blue Hens

Kickoff: 2026-03-11 16:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 89.37%1.12fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -28.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.01%89.30%90.22%91.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.051.041.0997.09%95.35%96.15%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Delaware Blue Hens (Visit)

Prediction 10.63%9.41fair odd
EV +16.89%
Edge +1.54%
Kelly +1.69%
Growth +0.285%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.64%10.70%9.78%12.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.309.319.6511.0013.70%10.74%10.36%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local): 89.37%; Delaware Blue Hens (Visit): 10.63%. For Delaware Blue Hens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.41. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.89%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.05%E -6.78%K -176.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +16.89%E +1.54%K +1.69%G +0.285%5.2%2026-03-11 16:30
Unibet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.05%E -6.78%K -176.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +6.27%E +0.627%K +0.696%G +0.044%6.2%2026-03-11 16:30
Bally Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.05%E -6.78%K -176.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +6.27%E +0.627%K +0.696%G +0.044%6.2%2026-03-11 16:30
FanDuel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.49%EV -7.95%E -7.71%K -264.84%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.51%EV +4.14%E +0.422%K +0.470%G +0.019%7.3%2026-03-11 16:29
BetRivers🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -7.95%E -7.71%K -264.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +0.952%E +0.100%K +0.112%G +0.001%7.6%2026-03-11 16:30
Fliff🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.04%EV -7.05%E -6.78%K -176.29%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.96%EV -0.111%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 16:30
BetMGM🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -20.30%E -2.71%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 16:30
Fanatics🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -2.58%E -2.37%K -28.70%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -22.43%E -3.07%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 16:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-03-11 16:30