Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Longwood Lancers v UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 01:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Longwood Lancers (Local)

Prediction 84.35%1.19fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -2.60%
Kelly -19.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.33%84.35%84.39%85.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.111.101.1590.91%89.96%90.50%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UNC Asheville Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 15.65%6.39fair odd
EV +0.150%
Edge +0.023%
Kelly +0.028%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.67%15.65%15.61%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.136.206.4017.39%16.33%16.13%15.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Longwood Lancers (Local): 84.35%; UNC Asheville Bulldogs (Visit): 15.65%. For UNC Asheville Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.39. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.150%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -7.21%E -6.56%K -72.13%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV +0.150%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 18:15
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -7.21%E -6.56%K -72.13%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV +0.150%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 18:15
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -7.21%E -6.56%K -72.13%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV +0.150%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 18:15
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.37%E -5.74%K -57.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.11%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 00:10
Fliff🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -6.37%E -5.74%K -57.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -9.24%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 01:25
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.00%E -2.60%K -19.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -10.02%E -1.74%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 21:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-03-06 00:10