Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kentucky Wildcats v South Carolina Gamecocks

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kentucky Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 11.70%8.55fair odd
EV +5.32%
Edge +0.591%
Kelly +0.665%
Growth +0.035%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.63%11.70%11.86%12.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.178.059.0013.33%12.24%12.42%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Carolina Gamecocks (Visit)

Prediction 88.30%1.13fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -28.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.21%88.30%88.14%89.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.071.061.1095.24%93.46%93.90%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kentucky Wildcats (Local): 11.70%; South Carolina Gamecocks (Visit): 88.30%. For Kentucky Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.55. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.32%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +5.32%E +0.591%K +0.665%G +0.035%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.52%E -5.16%K -78.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 18:44
Unibet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -0.532%E -0.063%K -0.071%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.40%E -6.04%K -106.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 18:34
Bally Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -0.532%E -0.063%K -0.071%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.40%E -6.04%K -106.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 18:34
BetRivers🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -0.532%E -0.063%K -0.071%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -7.29%E -6.94%K -145.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 18:34
Fanatics🎯8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV -5.21%E -0.644%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -3.76%E -3.45%K -41.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 16:39
Caesars🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.38%E -0.798%K -0.912%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.64%E -4.29%K -57.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 18:44
theScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.38%E -0.798%K -0.912%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.52%E -5.16%K -78.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:34
Fliff🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 11.96%EV -8.72%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.04%EV -6.40%E -6.04%K -106.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 18:47
FanDuel🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 11.96%EV -8.72%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.04%EV -6.40%E -6.04%K -106.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 16:54
BetMGM🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.23%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.87%E -2.61%K -28.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 15:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%1.6%2026-03-01 18:55