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Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 7.25
assuming max odds 1.13
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas St Wildcats (Local): 14.34%; Minnesota Golden Gophers (Visit): 85.66%. For Kansas St Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.97. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.95%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +3.95%E +0.545%K +0.632%G +0.025% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -5.77%E -5.25%K -57.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-11-14 18:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -3.22%E -0.477%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.06%E -3.62%K -33.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-11-14 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -5.37%E -0.814%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.77%E -5.25%K -57.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-11-14 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -5.37%E -0.814%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.77%E -5.25%K -57.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-11-14 17:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.80%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.77%E -5.25%K -57.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-11-14 17:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.80%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.77%E -5.25%K -57.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-11-14 17:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -6.80%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.63%E -6.08%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-11-14 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -16.84%E -2.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.20%E -2.83%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-14 18:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -16.84%E -2.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.20%E -2.83%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-14 18:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.84%E -2.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.92%E -4.43%K -44.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-11-14 18:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -17.56%E -3.05%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.20%E -2.83%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-11-14 18:29 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29% | 1.9% | 2026-11-14 17:35 |
| Novig◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.24% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.76% | 4.7% | 2026-11-14 17:30 |
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