Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.74
assuming max odds 2.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas St Wildcats (Local): 56.92%; Kansas Jayhawks (Visit): 43.08%. For Kansas Jayhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -0.920%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -0.956%E -0.549%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -12.12%E -5.94%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -0.956%E -0.549%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -12.12%E -5.94%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -1.53%E -0.882%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -12.12%E -5.94%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.66%E -1.56%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.23%E -2.38%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.80%E -2.25%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.37%E -2.60%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.50%E -1.56%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 20:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.94%E -2.96%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.07%E -1.37%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.08%E -3.68%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 21:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.79%E -4.81%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.920%E -0.400%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 20:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.81%EV -7.79%E -4.81%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -4.37%E -1.97%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 17:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80% | 3.0% | 2026-02-21 21:55 |