Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas St Wildcats v Iowa State Cyclones

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas St Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 32.99%3.03fair odd
EV +0.614%
Edge +0.201%
Kelly +0.299%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.52%32.79%32.95%34.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.862.803.0536.36%35.02%35.71%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iowa State Cyclones (Visit)

Prediction 67.01%1.49fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -4.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.73%67.21%67.05%69.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.411.411.4674.63%70.92%70.92%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas St Wildcats (Local): 32.99%; Iowa State Cyclones (Visit): 67.01%. For Kansas St Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.614%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV +0.614%E +0.201%K +0.299%G +0.002%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -10.20%E -7.61%K -30.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 17:15
Fanatics🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.69%E -0.910%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.84%E -3.41%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 17:14
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.33%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.18%E -4.42%K -15.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 17:14
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.98%E -2.10%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.50%E -2.43%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 16:14
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -7.63%E -2.73%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.16%E -1.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 16:10
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.63%E -2.73%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.51%E -3.91%K -13.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 17:54
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.63%E -2.73%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.51%E -3.91%K -13.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 17:54
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.63%E -2.73%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.18%E -4.42%K -15.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 17:54
Fliff🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -9.28%E -3.38%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.51%E -3.91%K -13.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 16:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%2.0%2026-03-01 17:29