Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks v Texas Tech Red Raiders

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 00:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas Jayhawks (Local)

Prediction 40.57%2.46fair odd
EV -0.603%
Edge -0.246%
Kelly -0.416%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.05%40.65%40.55%42.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.302.302.4545.45%43.50%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 59.43%1.68fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -3.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.29%59.35%59.45%60.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.611.621.6464.10%62.15%61.73%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas Jayhawks (Local): 40.57%; Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit): 59.43%. For Kansas Jayhawks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -0.603%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.603%E -0.246%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.70%E -4.26%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 19:29
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.63%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-25 19:29
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 21:14
FanDuel🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -5.07%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -7.29%E -4.67%K -13.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 19:25
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-25 19:29
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.72%E -3.87%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.51%E -3.46%K -9.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 21:15
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -10.75%E -4.88%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.54%E -1.55%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 20:50
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -10.75%E -4.88%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.54%E -1.55%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 20:50
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -10.75%E -4.88%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -3.13%E -1.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 20:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-02-25 22:50
Novig2.33I 42.92%NM 39.48%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%8.7%2026-02-25 20:00