Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

James Madison Dukes v Old Dominion Monarchs

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

89%

11%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

James Madison Dukes (Local)

Prediction 88.83%1.13fair odd

EV -3.18%

Edge -2.92%

Kelly -35.34%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

86.53%88.83%86.74%93.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.021.061.071.0998.04%93.98%93.46%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Old Dominion Monarchs (Visit)

Prediction 11.17%8.95fair odd

EV +56.44%

Edge +4.03%

Kelly +4.34%

Growth +2.45%

assuming max odds 14.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

6.79%11.17%13.26%13.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

7.008.407.0014.0014.29%11.90%14.29%7.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: James Madison Dukes (Local): 88.83%; Old Dominion Monarchs (Visit): 11.17%. For Old Dominion Monarchs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.95. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 14.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +56.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Fanatics🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -9.40%E -9.21%K -469.90%G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +56.44%E +4.03%K +4.34%G +2.45%	5.2%	2026-02-25 21:54
BetMGM🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.18%E -2.92%K -35.34%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -21.78%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-25 21:54
BetRivers🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.96%E -4.63%K -70.81%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.78%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-02-25 21:54
Unibet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.96%E -4.63%K -70.81%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.78%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-02-25 21:54
Bally Bet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.96%E -4.63%K -70.81%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.78%E -3.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-02-25 21:54

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%	1.7%	2026-02-25 21:55