Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa State Cyclones v Oklahoma St Cowgirls

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 00:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

70%

30%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa State Cyclones (Local)

Prediction 70.00%1.43fair odd

EV -1.99%

Edge -1.42%

Kelly -4.99%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

68.18%70.12%69.86%72.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.291.341.341.4077.52%74.81%74.63%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma St Cowgirls (Visit)

Prediction 30.00%3.33fair odd

EV +1.99%

Edge +0.584%

Kelly +0.828%

Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.51%29.88%30.14%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.003.213.203.4033.33%31.14%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa State Cyclones (Local): 70.00%; Oklahoma St Cowgirls (Visit): 30.00%. For Oklahoma St Cowgirls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.33. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.99%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetRivers🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -9.70%E -7.52%K -33.43%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +1.99%E +0.584%K +0.828%G +0.016%	6.9%	2026-02-25 20:34
Unibet🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -9.70%E -7.52%K -33.43%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +1.99%E +0.584%K +0.828%G +0.016%	6.9%	2026-02-25 20:35
Bally Bet🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -9.70%E -7.52%K -33.43%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +1.99%E +0.584%K +0.828%G +0.016%	6.9%	2026-02-25 20:35
DraftKings🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.09%E -2.99%K -11.07%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.01%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-02-25 17:45
FanDuel🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.59%E -5.75%K -23.73%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.01%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-02-25 19:15
Fanatics🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.09%E -2.99%K -11.07%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.51%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-25 19:20
theScore Bet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.79%E -3.53%K -13.32%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-25 19:14
Fliff🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.19%E -4.62%K -18.22%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.51%E -2.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-02-25 20:35
BetMGM🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.99%E -1.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-02-25 18:15

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57%	3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%	2.0%	2026-02-26 00:00
Novig◎	1.29I 77.52%NM 71.40%	3.22I 31.06%NM 28.60%	8.6%	2026-02-25 23:50