The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Iowa Hawkeyes v Michigan Wolverines

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 21:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa Hawkeyes (Local)

Prediction 40.15%2.49fair odd
EV -3.65%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.29%40.27%40.05%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.352.372.4044.44%42.61%42.28%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Michigan Wolverines (Visit)

Prediction 59.85%1.67fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -4.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%59.73%59.95%60.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.571.571.6264.94%63.61%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa Hawkeyes (Local): 40.15%; Michigan Wolverines (Visit): 59.85%. For Michigan Wolverines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.62, with an expected value of -3.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.65%E -1.52%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 21:09
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.65%E -1.52%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 17:17
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -4.45%E -1.87%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.23%E -4.66%K -13.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 21:09
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -4.45%E -1.87%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -7.23%E -4.66%K -13.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 21:09
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.45%E -1.87%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.83%E -5.08%K -14.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 21:09
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 21:30
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 21:29
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.63%E -4.25%K -11.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 21:14
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.47%E -3.71%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 21:09
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.04%E -1.87%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 21:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%3.1%2026-03-07 21:05