The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Indiana Hoosiers v Penn State Nittany Lions

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Hoosiers (Local)

Prediction 75.67%1.32fair odd
EV -0.866%
Edge -0.661%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.32%75.56%75.40%77.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.251.251.3182.64%80.26%80.32%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit)

Prediction 24.33%4.11fair odd
EV -0.266%
Edge -0.065%
Kelly -0.086%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.79%24.44%24.60%26.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.943.984.1027.78%25.38%25.16%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Hoosiers (Local): 75.67%; Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit): 24.33%. For Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.10, with an expected value of -0.266%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -0.866%E -0.661%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 16:30
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -2.38%E -1.84%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -6.35%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 18:08
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.266%E -0.065%K -0.086%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 16:35
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.675%K -0.899%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 16:35
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 18:09
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.16%E -4.97%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 18:09
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.68%E -6.29%K -34.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.266%E -0.065%K -0.086%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 16:55
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.68%E -6.29%K -34.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.266%E -0.065%K -0.086%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 16:55
Fliff🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -7.68%E -6.29%K -34.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -3.91%E -0.991%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.43%E -6.97%K -40.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -0.266%E -0.065%K -0.086%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-02-28 18:39